---
title: "IPMA"
summary: "Issues weather warnings by district and type (green to red) and special communiqués."
mount: <figure class="ent-hop" data-base="../../" data-node="body/ipma"></figure>
head: <link rel="stylesheet" href="../../app/lens/hop.css"><script src="../../app/lens/hop.js" defer></script>
---
> Kept by incident.entities@web-summit.dinis, 11 November 2026, 08:47 UTC. A node of the [entities](../README.md): made from [its data](ipma.json), where every line names the row or decision it was taken from. Nothing is stated here for the first time.

# IPMA

**body**: A public body that decides, warns or polices: an authority, the government, a ministry, a municipality. [All body nodes](README.md). Also written: Instituto Português do Mar e da Atmosfera.

Issues weather warnings by district and type (green to red) and special communiqués. (**fact**; [api.ipma.pt](https://api.ipma.pt/open-data/forecast/warnings/warnings_www.json), read 10 Nov, 18:59 UTC)

## IPMA issued

- [Names the low CHARLES (communiqué no. 1); orange warnings to follow, upgrade not ruled out](../../entities/warning/ipma-communique-1.md) · **fact** · "Names the low CHARLES (communiqué no. 1); orange warnings to follow, upgrade not ruled out" · [ipma.pt](https://www.ipma.pt/pt/otempo/comunicados/), read 10 Nov, 16:53 UTC · from [decision ipma-communique-1](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/decisions.md)
- [Red wind warning, Lisbon district, 11 Nov 12:00 to 21:00 (gusts to 120, up to 140 km/h)](../../entities/warning/ipma-red-wind.md) · **fact** · "Red wind warning, Lisbon district, 11 Nov 12:00 to 21:00 (gusts to 120, up to 140 km/h)" · [feeds.meteoalarm.org](https://feeds.meteoalarm.org/api/v1/warnings/feeds-portugal), read 11 Nov, 07:35 UTC · from [decision ipma-red-wind](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/decisions.md)
- [Rain raised to red, Lisbon district, 11 Nov 12:00 to 18:00 (orange 05:00 to 12:00); sea orange 12:00 to 21:00](../../entities/warning/ipma-red-rain.md) · **fact** · "Rain raised to red, Lisbon district, 11 Nov 12:00 to 18:00 (orange 05:00 to 12:00); sea orange 12:00 to 21:00" · [feeds.meteoalarm.org](https://feeds.meteoalarm.org/api/v1/warnings/feeds-portugal), read 11 Nov, 01:05 UTC · from [decision ipma-red-rain](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/decisions.md)
- [Communiqué no. 2: rain, wind and sea agitation, Depressão CHARLES, mainland and Madeira](../../entities/warning/ipma-communique-2.md) · **fact** · "Communiqué no. 2: rain, wind and sea agitation, Depressão CHARLES, mainland and Madeira" · [ipma.pt](https://www.ipma.pt/resources.www/rss/comunicados.xml), read 10 Nov, 18:59 UTC · from [decision ipma-communique-2](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/decisions.md)
- [Red rain warning for the Lisbon district brought forward to 11 Nov 09:00 to 18:00 (orange 00:00 to 09:00;…](../../entities/warning/ipma-red-rain-0900.md) · **fact** · "Red rain warning for the Lisbon district brought forward to 11 Nov 09:00 to 18:00 (orange 00:00 to 09:00; yellow from 21:24 Tuesday)" · [feeds.meteoalarm.org](https://feeds.meteoalarm.org/api/v1/warnings/feeds-portugal), read 11 Nov, 10:34 UTC · from [decision ipma-red-rain-0900](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/decisions.md)
- [Red warnings for Madeira's south coast and mountains: rain from 21:00 Tuesday to 06:00 Wednesday; wind gusts…](../../entities/warning/ipma-madeira-red.md) · **evidence** · "Red warnings for Madeira's south coast and mountains: rain from 21:00 Tuesday to 06:00 Wednesday; wind gusts to 140 km/h from 00:00" · [jornaldenegocios.pt](https://www.jornaldenegocios.pt/economia/detalhe/fiquem-em-casa-todos-os-que-puderem-escolas-e-servicos-publicos-encerrados-amanha-siga-ao-minuto), read 11 Nov, 01:35 UTC · from [decision ipma-madeira-red](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/decisions.md)
- [IPMA lowers Lisbon's wind warning from red to orange: Wednesday 09:00 to 21:00, gusts up to 120 km/h…](../../entities/warning/ipma-wind-orange.md) · **fact** · "IPMA lowers Lisbon's wind warning from red to orange: Wednesday 09:00 to 21:00, gusts up to 120 km/h ("Rajadas até 120 km/h"); the red rain 09:00 to 18:00 stands" · [feeds.meteoalarm.org](https://feeds.meteoalarm.org/api/v1/warnings/feeds-portugal), read 11 Nov, 10:34 UTC · from [decision ipma-wind-orange](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/decisions.md)

## IPMA named

- [Storm Charles](../../entities/hazard/storm-charles.md) · **fact** · "IPMA names the storm CHARLES (communiqué no. 1): expected north of Madeira at 00:00 on 11 Nov, then toward the mainland, "com elevada incerteza na trajetória e intensidade"; orange warnings to be issued" · [ipma.pt](https://www.ipma.pt/pt/otempo/comunicados/), read 10 Nov, 16:53 UTC · from [row s-1109T1317](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1109T1317)

## IPMA has its messages relayed by

- [MeteoAlarm](../../entities/body/meteoalarm.md) · **fact** · "IPMA sends the red wind warning for Lisbon (Wednesday 12:00 to 21:00), updating a wind message sent Monday 13:27; first in the press we read at 08:05 (DN live)" · [meteoalarm.org](https://www.meteoalarm.org), IPMA's CAP message through , data/weather/cap.json (incident.meteorologist@, read 23:51); research/media/first-on-each-fact.json · from [row s-1110T0718](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1110T0718)
- [VOST Portugal](../../entities/organisation/vost-portugal.md) · **evidence** · "IPMA's move of Lisbon's red rain to 09:00 (sent 21:23) was relayed in public by VOST Portugal, a volunteers' association, 57 minutes after IPMA sent it; no press title we read had it by 00:15 (row s-1111T0015 stands for the press)" · [bsky.app](https://bsky.app/profile/vost.pt/post/3mzyhxvwhry25), read 02:2x on 11 Nov by incident.social@ · from [row s-1110T2220](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1110T2220)

## IPMA has, working for it,

- [An IPMA meteorologist](../../entities/role/ipma-meteorologist.md) · **evidence** · "an IPMA meteorologist, speaking to Rádio Observador: "a depressão deverá entrar entre a região de Lisboa e o Cabo de São Vicente (Sagres)"; "Isto ainda atinge a zona de Lisboa, mas é provável que, se houver formação de ventos muito, muito fortes, não seja na…" · [observador.pt](https://observador.pt/liveblogs/manifestantes-detidos-no-porto-pronunciam-se-sobre-suspensao-provisoria-do-processo/), (entry published 22:35:24 UTC by the page's own data, confirmed by incident.media@; quotes read at source by the lead 00:36). Earlier on the same fact:… · from [row s-1110T2235](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1110T2235)

## IPMA uses the term

- [CAP message](../../entities/term/cap.md) · **fact** · "IPMA sends the red wind warning for Lisbon (Wednesday 12:00 to 21:00), updating a wind message sent Monday 13:27; first in the press we read at 08:05 (DN live)" · [meteoalarm.org](https://www.meteoalarm.org), IPMA's CAP message through , data/weather/cap.json (incident.meteorologist@, read 23:51); research/media/first-on-each-fact.json · from [row s-1110T0718](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1110T0718)
- [Communiqué](../../entities/term/communique.md) · **fact** · "IPMA (Instituto Português do Mar e da Atmosfera): Issues weather warnings by district and type (green to red) and special communiqués." · [api.ipma.pt](https://api.ipma.pt/open-data/forecast/warnings/warnings_www.json), read 10 Nov, 18:59 UTC · from `incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/data/decisions/graph.json#/nodes/ipma`
- [Warning level](../../entities/term/warning-level.md) · **fact** · "IPMA (Instituto Português do Mar e da Atmosfera): Issues weather warnings by district and type (green to red) and special communiqués." · [api.ipma.pt](https://api.ipma.pt/open-data/forecast/warnings/warnings_www.json), read 10 Nov, 18:59 UTC · from `incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/data/decisions/graph.json#/nodes/ipma`

## Timeline rows that mention it (44)

| When (UTC) | Label | What the row says |
|---|---|---|
| [11 Nov, 12:01 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T1201) | hypothesis | analysis (incident.datascience@, from model data): of 51 ECMWF ensemble forecasts (IFS, via Open-Meteo), the low crosses 9.5°W north of Lisbon in 10%, near Lisbon in 41%, south of Lisbon in 49%, around 15:00; Lisbon's strongest model gust: median 69 km/h (10% of forecasts below 55, 10% above 85). Sh… |
| [11 Nov, 11:35 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T1135) | evidence | the government's crisis cabinet line leads the live pages: "O mais complicado ainda vai acontecer" (RTP) and "Governo insiste na prevenção e avisa que tempestade ainda não chegou" (ECO), beside the lowered wind (CNN Portugal quotes IPMA: "A depressão acabou por mudar as suas características", a quot… |
| [11 Nov, 11:28 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T1128) | fact | Lisbon at 11:00: heavy rain, steady 4 to 6 mm an hour at every IPMA station in Lisbon (24.0 to 27.5 mm in the hours labelled 06:00 to 10:00); the airport observed east-south-east 17 km/h, heavy rain, visibility 2 km, 998 hPa and falling, no gust all morning. The 11:00 TAF repeats the 10:08 cut (gust… |
| [11 Nov, 11:09 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T1109) | evidence | Rádio Observador (10:38) reports the overnight reassessment moved Charles's track further south, toward the Algarve, with heavy rain in Lisbon about 11:00 to 15:00 easing after about 18:00 (the press, not IPMA's written word; consistent with Faro keeping red wind, s-1111T0824). At the same sweep (10… |
| [11 Nov, 10:28 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T1028) | fact | Lisbon airport's forecast (TAF) amended at 10:08 and lowered again: at times south 20 kt gusting 35 (65 km/h) 10:00 to 16:00 (the 07:00 TAF had 30 gusting 45, 83 km/h, to 18:00); a 30% chance in thunderstorms of 40 gusting 55 (102 km/h), also ending 16:00; wind turning west by 18:00 to 20:00. At 10:… |
| [11 Nov, 09:55 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0955) | evidence | the cancellation reaches the international trade press: Deadline, "Web Summit Cancels Day Two As Storm Charles Hits Lisbon" (posted 09:10). In Lisbon, CNN Portugal's live blog: the riverside almost empty with access restricted (entry 09:20) and photos of cars partly submerged at Oriente, next to the… |
| [11 Nov, 09:41 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0941) | hypothesis | analysis (incident.meteorologist@, hypothesis) on the press's "two centres" (s-1111T0939). Facts: IPMA has published nothing in writing about two centres (no communiqué after no. 2, which speaks of one; its CAP texts do not describe the low). Madeira airport's pressure was lowest at 991 hPa at 06:30… |
| [11 Nov, 09:39 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0939) | evidence | the press now reports IPMA's wind change, and attributes more to IPMA than IPMA has written. Titles read: Observador's live blog "Vento. IPMA reduz nível de alerta em Lisboa, Setúbal e Beja"; TSF "Previsões do IPMA melhoram: apenas Faro está sob aviso vermelho para vento"; RTP's live blog "IPMA prev… |
| [11 Nov, 09:22 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0922) | hypothesis | analysis (incident.meteorologist@, hypothesis; supersedes the reading of 02:29): IPMA's new hourly model run (07:56) now shows the same pattern as MET Norway's: wind from the east around midday, a lull of about 11 km/h at 13:00, then south 40 km/h at 14:00 and south-west 35 km/h at 15:00, turning we… |
| [11 Nov, 09:03 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0903) | fact | IPMA's red rain warning for Lisbon is in force: 09:00 to 18:00, "Precipitação forte e persistente"; the orange wind warning is in force too, 09:00 to 21:00, gusts up to 120 km/h; the orange sea warning follows from 12:00. No new IPMA message for Lisbon since 07:16:30. At the airport at 08:30: wind 2… |
| [11 Nov, 08:51 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0851) | evidence | the press on the morning ahead (CNN Portugal's live blog): intense rain may coincide with high tide and hinder drainage in the big cities (entry 08:27); civil protection counted 60 incidents by 06:00, Greater Lisbon the most affected with 26 (entry 08:26; the count for 03:30 reported earlier was 66,… |
| [11 Nov, 08:44 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0844) | fact | IPMA's open-data feed now agrees with its 07:16:30 message: Lisbon's wind warning is orange, 09:00 to 21:00, "Rajadas até 120 km/h."; the red wind entry is gone (it was still listed at 08:22). The feed followed the message by between 66 and 88 minutes. Red rain 09:00 to 18:00 stands; the orange rain… |
| [11 Nov, 08:24 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0824) | fact | The whole of IPMA's 07:16:30 change, eleven messages: wind warnings lowered across the mainland. Red to orange, 09:00 to 21:00: Lisboa, Setúbal, Beja. Red to yellow, 12:00 to 21:00: Leiria, Santarém, Portalegre, Évora. Orange to yellow: Guarda, Castelo Branco, Coimbra. New: a yellow thunderstorm war… |
| [11 Nov, 08:22 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0822) | fact | Observed at the airports at 08:00. Madeira: the wind fell from south-west 69 km/h gusting 89 km/h (07:00) to north-east 13 km/h, with pressure at 995 hPa; analysis (incident.meteorologist@, hypothesis): the storm's centre passed close to Madeira airport between about 07:30 and 08:00. Lisbon: south-s… |
| [11 Nov, 07:38 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0738) | fact | IPMA lowered Lisbon's wind warning from red to orange, and starts it three hours earlier: orange wind, Wednesday 09:00 to 21:00, "Rajadas até 120 km/h" (was red, 12:00 to 21:00, with gusts that could reach 140 km/h in the most exposed places). IPMA sent the change at 07:16:30 as a CAP message (PO-01… |
| [11 Nov, 07:27 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0727) | fact | Madeira, observed: 249.5 mm of rain in six hours at IPMA's station Areeiro, its largest six consecutive hourly values so far (was 232.1 mm at the 04:23 read); this is the measurement behind the "more than 240 mm in six hours" an IPMA meteorologist gave Lusa (s-1111T0642). Madeira airport at 07:00: w… |
| [11 Nov, 06:54 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0654) | evidence | the morning as one live blog has it (CNN Portugal): overnight, 66 incidents on the mainland with four floods in Greater Lisbon and the Setúbal peninsula (entry 05:44); the Porto Brandão-Trafaria-Pedrouços/Algés ferry is suspended on Wednesday while the Lisbon-South Bank ferries run in the morning (e… |
| [11 Nov, 06:42 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0642) | fact | Checked: the "winds of 130 km/h in Madeira" in press headlines (SAPO's front page, read 06:39; Lusa, 06:37, "Charles causou ventos de 130 km/hora na Madeira") matches the figure in IPMA's warning text, and no such observation is in IPMA's open data. Lusa's article (published 06:28, read 06:37 by inc… |
| [11 Nov, 06:25 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0625) | fact | Madeira's red warnings ended at 06:00, as IPMA had scheduled: its warnings page now shows orange as the highest level for Madeira's north coast, mountain regions and south coast (red at the 05:23 read); in its open data the red rain (all three areas, from 21:00 Tuesday) and the mountains' red wind c… |
| [11 Nov, 05:22 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0522) | fact | Lisbon airport's forecast issued at 05:00 lengthens the strong wind by two hours: at times 30 kt gusting 45 (83 km/h) from 09:00 to 18:00 (the 23:00 forecast had it to 16:00); the 30% chance of thunderstorm gusts of 58 kt (107 km/h) stays 10:00 to 18:00; west 12 kt from 18:00 to 20:00. Observed at 0… |
| [11 Nov, 04:37 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0437) | evidence | the first count for the mainland: 66 occurrences at 03:30, reported by Lusa (carried by Notícias ao Minuto, 04:01, and on SAPO's front page) as civil protection's figure. Title read only; no count read at ANEPC itself, whose notice is still no. 21. IPMA unchanged at the same hour (communiqué no. 2; … |
| [11 Nov, 03:28 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0328) | evidence | RTP's 03:00 radio bulletin is titled "IPMA: depressão Charles vai atingir mais o sul do país" (the title only; the bulletin was not listened to). At the same hour IPMA's published warnings for Lisbon are unchanged (red rain 09:00 to 18:00, red wind 12:00 to 21:00) and its communiqué is still no. 2; … |
| [11 Nov, 02:38 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0238) | fact | Madeira airport, observed at 02:30: wind 67 km/h gusting 98 km/h (METAR LPMA 110230Z 22036G53KT 3000 RA), the highest gust in the last 30 hours of its reports (01:00: 59 gusting 78 km/h). A point observation on the south-east coast, not a warning area; IPMA's stations report mean wind only |
| [11 Nov, 02:29 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0229) | hypothesis | analysis (incident.meteorologist@, hypothesis, re-weighed; supersedes the 00:00 reading): which side of Lisbon the centre passes is unsettled: "just south of Lisbon" drops to low confidence (was medium), because met.no's 01:19 run veers the wind through south to west with its strongest mean wind (56… |
| [11 Nov, 01:46 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0146) | fact | Madeira, observed: 230.5 mm of rain in six hours at IPMA's station Areeiro (the hours 20:00 Tuesday to 01:00 Wednesday; 133.9 mm in the six hours to 22:00); next: Santo da Serra 124.4, Pico do Areeiro 123.9, Pico Alto 116.7 mm in six hours |
| [11 Nov, 00:29 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0029) | evidence | the press now reports the track further south and a weaker wind: Público's live blog headline "Charles passa mais a sul do que o previsto e vento deverá ser menos intenso"; Observador "IPMA admite que Charles entre mais a sul do que o previsto"; Notícias ao Minuto "Tempestade muda de trajetória; CP … |
| [11 Nov, 00:15 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0015) | hypothesis | analysis (incident.media@, labelled): IPMA's move of Lisbon's red rain to 09:00 (sent 21:23) had not been reported by any article title or live-blog entry we could read by 00:15. Limits: matched by title only; SIC, JN, TSF and Renascença refuse automated reads. Who was first on the other facts: red … |
| [11 Nov, 00:00 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1111T0000) | hypothesis | analysis (incident.meteorologist@, hypothesis, confidence low to medium): the official and model data are consistent with the centre passing very close to Lisbon at about 17:00 to 18:00 Wednesday, more likely just south of it (met.no's pressure minimum 986.7 hPa at 17:00 to 18:00 and a 160° wind swi… |
| [10 Nov, 23:54 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1110T2354) | hypothesis | analysis (incident.meteorologist@, labelled): worst window now 09:00 to 18:00, the core 12:00 to 18:00 when both reds overlap; over by 21:00. From IPMA's own issue times (CAP): red wind was sent Tue 07:18 (not 08:31 as the press had it): 28.7 h ahead; red rain 19.5 h; the move to 09:00, 11.6 h |
| [10 Nov, 23:53 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1110T2353) | fact, decision | IPMA moved Lisbon's red rain warning three hours earlier: Wednesday 09:00 to 18:00 (was 12:00 to 18:00; supersedes s-1110T1742); orange rain now 00:00 to 09:00; red wind unchanged (12:00 to 21:00). IPMA sent the change at 21:23 (its CAP message); its open-data feed showed it only from the 23:51 read |
| [10 Nov, 23:50 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1110T2350) | evidence | (unofficial, unverified) a public weather page on Facebook shows the storm's track further south than first forecast, toward Lisbon and just south of it; the image is undated and the page is not IPMA. To compare with IPMA's next communiqué; IPMA's own text keeps "entre Sines e o Cabo Carvoeiro" with… |
| [10 Nov, 23:24 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1110T2324) | hypothesis | analysis (incident.meteorologist@, labelled): the TAF's peak (09:00 to 16:00) and IPMA's model peak (19:00 to 20:00) disagree, so the peak is widened back to 12:00 to 18:00; end 21:00; Thursday morning behind the storm, medium confidence; a weaker airport forecast is not a downgrade of IPMA's warnin… |
| [10 Nov, 23:23 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1110T2323) | fact | The first airport TAF covering Thursday (issued 23:00) is weaker than 17:00's: Wed 09:00 to 16:00 at times 30 kt gusting 45 (83 km/h); 30% chance (was 40%) of 58 kt thunderstorm gusts 10:00 to 18:00; west 12 kt from 18:00 to 20:00; Thursday 00:00 to 06:00 west 12 kt, no gusts. IPMA's red warnings un… |
| [10 Nov, 22:35 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1110T2235) | evidence | an IPMA meteorologist, speaking to Rádio Observador: "a depressão deverá entrar entre a região de Lisboa e o Cabo de São Vicente (Sagres)"; "Isto ainda atinge a zona de Lisboa, mas é provável que, se houver formação de ventos muito, muito fortes, não seja na região de Lisboa, mas um pouco mais a sul… |
| [10 Nov, 22:20 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1110T2220) | evidence | IPMA's move of Lisbon's red rain to 09:00 (sent 21:23) was relayed in public by VOST Portugal, a volunteers' association, 57 minutes after IPMA sent it; no press title we read had it by 00:15 (row s-1111T0015 stands for the press) |
| [10 Nov, 21:18 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1110T2118) | hypothesis | analysis (incident.meteorologist@, labelled): IPMA's hourly model changed its values (same 07:55 stamp): Wednesday's strongest mean wind now 23 km/h at 20:00 (was 49 at 18:00); the swing to north 18:00; peak most likely 17:00 to 20:00 (was 15:00 to 19:00); worst window 12:00 to 18:00 and end 21:00 u… |
| [10 Nov, 18:36 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1110T1836) | fact | Vicky's weather desk full check: IPMA's two red warnings for Lisbon unchanged since 17:42 (wind 12:00 to 21:00, rain 12:00 to 18:00); no Web Summit change |
| [10 Nov, 17:42 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1110T1742) | fact, decision | IPMA raises Lisbon's rain warning to red, Wednesday 12:00 to 18:00 (IPMA sent it at 16:30:01, by its CAP message; 17:42 is when the weather desk first read it) |
| [10 Nov, 17:07 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1110T1707b) | fact | IPMA communiqué no. 2 on CHARLES (edited 17:07:58): worse weather from early Wednesday morning; the centre most likely to pass "entre Sines e o Cabo Carvoeiro"; gusts 100 to 120 km/h, locally 140; "elevada incerteza" in track and strength |
| [10 Nov, 14:23 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1110T1423) | fact, decision | IPMA red warning for wind, Lisbon district, Wednesday 12:00 to 21:00 (first read by the newsroom) |
| [10 Nov, 08:46 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1110T0846) | evidence | IPMA expects the storm earlier, Wednesday morning; Lisbon among the hardest hit; avoid unnecessary travel (Lusa) |
| [10 Nov, 07:18 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1110T0718) | fact | IPMA sends the red wind warning for Lisbon (Wednesday 12:00 to 21:00), updating a wind message sent Monday 13:27; first in the press we read at 08:05 (DN live) |
| [9 Nov, 13:17 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1109T1317) | fact | IPMA names the storm CHARLES (communiqué no. 1): expected north of Madeira at 00:00 on 11 Nov, then toward the mainland, "com elevada incerteza na trajetória e intensidade"; orange warnings to be issued |
| [9 Nov, 10:20 UTC](../../incidents/2026-11-10-storm-charles/timeline.md#s-1109T1020) | evidence | AEMET, Spain's meteorological agency, says in public that the storm is named Charles, 2 h 57 min before the 13:17 this timeline gives for IPMA's communiqué no. 1 (row s-1109T1317). AEMET's post is timed 10:20:11 (read through Bluesky's public API). IPMA's communiqué no. 1 can no longer be read (its … |

## Evidence (8 outside addresses)

- api.ipma.pt, read 10 Nov, 18:59 UTC · no capture of ours yet · [the address itself](https://api.ipma.pt/open-data/forecast/warnings/warnings_www.json)
- ipma.pt, read 10 Nov, 16:53 UTC · no capture of ours yet · [the address itself](https://www.ipma.pt/pt/otempo/comunicados/)
- feeds.meteoalarm.org, read 11 Nov, 07:35 UTC · no capture of ours yet · [the address itself](https://feeds.meteoalarm.org/api/v1/warnings/feeds-portugal)
- ipma.pt, read 10 Nov, 18:59 UTC · no capture of ours yet · [the address itself](https://www.ipma.pt/resources.www/rss/comunicados.xml)
- jornaldenegocios.pt, read 11 Nov, 01:35 UTC · no capture of ours yet · [the address itself](https://www.jornaldenegocios.pt/economia/detalhe/fiquem-em-casa-todos-os-que-puderem-escolas-e-servicos-publicos-encerrados-amanha-siga-ao-minuto)
- meteoalarm.org · no capture of ours yet · [the address itself](https://www.meteoalarm.org)
- bsky.app · no capture of ours yet · [the address itself](https://bsky.app/profile/vost.pt/post/3mzyhxvwhry25)
- observador.pt · no capture of ours yet · [the address itself](https://observador.pt/liveblogs/manifestantes-detidos-no-porto-pronunciam-se-sobre-suspensao-provisoria-do-processo/)

## The same node elsewhere

- In the meteorology graph (body): [IPMA](../../meteorology/nodes/body-ipma.md): Instituto Português do Mar e da Atmosfera: Portugal's national meteorological service and the only body that issues weather warnings for Portugal.
- In the meteorology graph (site): [IPMA](../../meteorology/nodes/site-ipma.md): Home: the map of warnings by district with a day selector, the forecast for the capitals, the latest communiqués and the seismic map.
- As a source of this site (official): [IPMA, its source page](../../sources/ipma/README.md). Portugal's national meteorological service: it issues the warnings. Publishes: warnings, forecasts, station observations, communiqués, sea state (open data as JSON; RSS). We take: the warnings in force, the hour-by-hour forecast for Lisbon, the stations' observations, the communiqués. Licence: kept by incident.ipma@
- In the graph: `actor:ipma` ([open it there](../../app/graph/index.html?node=actor%3Aipma), [its data](../../data/graph/storm.json))
- As data: [body/ipma.json](ipma.json) · [every node](../../entities/index.json) · [the grammar](../../entities/ontology.md)
