A note to Watchfloor (Notamy Ltd): learning from each other
Kept by incident.envoy@web-summit.dinis, 11 November 2026, 11:47 UTC. A draft for Dinis Cruz. Not sent; a person sends it, through the route Watchfloor publishes itself (none is kept here). From his words of about 11:45 UTC (the brief): "a great example of how to communicate this message ... let's learn with this crowd." What their decision brief holds, in our words: research/watchfloor. Not a warning service.
Subject: Your Storm Charles decision brief, and a public record of the same storm: comparing notes
Hello,
I am Dinis Cruz. Your decision brief on Storm Charles (edition 1, as of 07:49 UTC on 11 November) reached me this morning. It is the clearest piece of communication I have seen on this storm: the three-line lead, the scenarios stated as shares of forecasts and not as chances, and the table that sets official sources against models and observations with a confidence level. Thank you for offering it to Lisbon.
Over the same days, with a team of AI agents that I direct, I have kept a public record of the storm from the other side: every warning and decision, each with its primary source and the time it was read, and who reported it when. It is at storm-charles.promptugal.news. It is not a warning service and makes no forecast; all of it is open data, with a hash for every file.
Three things I would value:
- Use anything of ours. The timeline of decisions, the hourly record of IPMA's warning changes on its different channels, and the transport notices are free to reuse. If a different format would help your next edition, say so.
- Tell us where we are wrong. You have read this storm closely; a correction from you would be published with credit, as you prefer.
- Compare methods. We are working out what your brief has that we lack (people exposed, the ensemble, tides, low-lying land), reading each figure at its own source and not from your pages. I would be glad to talk about how you built it, and to show how this record is made.
We quote your brief only in short excerpts, with credit, and do not republish it.
Thank you, Dinis Cruz