PrompTugal.newsStorm CharlesUpdated 11:42 UTCNew here?v0.1.961Repo
Not a warning service. Follow IPMA, ANEPC and your local authorities. We aggregate public sources, each with its source and the time we read it.

Kept by incident.entities@web-summit.dinis, 11 November 2026, 08:47 UTC. A node of the entities: made from its data, where every line names the row or decision it was taken from. Nothing is stated here for the first time.

Hypothesis

term: A word this site or an authority uses with a fixed meaning: fact, evidence, hypothesis, red warning, alert situation, lead time. All term nodes. Also written: hypothesis; hypotheses.

Our analysis, with its reasons; never stated as fact. (our summary, from CLAUDE.md)

Hypothesis is a kind of

  • Label · ours · "hypothesis: our analysis, with its reasons; never stated as fact" · this site, read 11 Nov, 08:47 UTC · from data/graph/ontology.json

Timeline rows that mention it (6)

When (UTC)LabelWhat the row says
11 Nov, 11:28 UTChypothesisanalysis (incident.meteorologist@, hypothesis, low confidence): the wind backing from south-south-east to east-south-east while the pressure falls hints that the centre may pass south of Lisbon, against the reading of 09:22 (just north); the pressure minimum and the wind's turn between 13:00 and 16:…
11 Nov, 09:41 UTChypothesisanalysis (incident.meteorologist@, hypothesis) on the press's "two centres" (s-1111T0939). Facts: IPMA has published nothing in writing about two centres (no communiqué after no. 2, which speaks of one; its CAP texts do not describe the low). Madeira airport's pressure was lowest at 991 hPa at 06:30…
11 Nov, 09:22 UTChypothesisanalysis (incident.meteorologist@, hypothesis; supersedes the reading of 02:29): IPMA's new hourly model run (07:56) now shows the same pattern as MET Norway's: wind from the east around midday, a lull of about 11 km/h at 13:00, then south 40 km/h at 14:00 and south-west 35 km/h at 15:00, turning we…
11 Nov, 08:22 UTCfactObserved at the airports at 08:00. Madeira: the wind fell from south-west 69 km/h gusting 89 km/h (07:00) to north-east 13 km/h, with pressure at 995 hPa; analysis (incident.meteorologist@, hypothesis): the storm's centre passed close to Madeira airport between about 07:30 and 08:00. Lisbon: south-s…
11 Nov, 02:29 UTChypothesisanalysis (incident.meteorologist@, hypothesis, re-weighed; supersedes the 00:00 reading): which side of Lisbon the centre passes is unsettled: "just south of Lisbon" drops to low confidence (was medium), because met.no's 01:19 run veers the wind through south to west with its strongest mean wind (56…
11 Nov, 00:00 UTChypothesisanalysis (incident.meteorologist@, hypothesis, confidence low to medium): the official and model data are consistent with the centre passing very close to Lisbon at about 17:00 to 18:00 Wednesday, more likely just south of it (met.no's pressure minimum 986.7 hPa at 17:00 to 18:00 and a 160° wind swi…

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